Description: A gauge of U.S. factories fell in April to the weakest level since late 2016, signaling that manufacturing headwinds extended into the second quarter as companies continue to confront uncertainty about trade. Source: Bloomberg.com Date: May 01, 2019 Link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-01/u-s-factory-gauge-falls-to-two-year-low-as-orders-output-cool?srnd=markets-vp Questions for discussion: What does the report suggest about the economy and future interest… Read more »
Posts Categorized: Economic Analysis
Description: Stocks traded slightly higher on Friday as investors weighed better-than-expected economic data against a mixed batch of quarterly earnings. Source: CNBC.com – video report Date: Apr 26, 2019 Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/26/stock-market-gdp-data-and-corporate-earnings-in-focus-on-wall-street.html Questions for discussion: What explains stock performances, according to the article? What would you expect investors to do going forward at this time?
Description: Oil prices tumbled as much as 4% on Friday, extending early losses after President Donald Trump said he told OPEC to take action to temper fuel costs. Source: CNBC.com – video report Date: Apr 26, 2019 Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/26/oil-market-opec-output-rises-us-sanctions-on-iranian-oil-in-focus.html Questions for discussion: Why did oil prices pull back, according to the report? Explain oil prices and their effect… Read more »
Description: The U.S. economy, at its own peril, has been driven by cheap credit Source: MarketWatch.com Date: Mar 20, 2019 Link: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/when-the-us-falls-into-a-recession-a-credit-bubble-will-explode-2019-03-20?mod=mw_theo_homepage Questions for discussion: What is the meaning of the term “credit cycle”? Do interest rates determine stock and bond market valuations? What do you think will happen in the next 12 months?
Description: Yahoo Finance Editor-in-Chief Andy Serwer sits down with Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, former deputy director at the International Monetary Fund, and former chair of President Obama’s Global Development Council. Source: Yahoo.Finance.com – video report Date: Mar 14, 2019 Link: https://finance.yahoo.com/video/mohamed-el-erian-joins-influencers-100000239.html?soc_src=strm&soc_trk=ma Questions for discussion: Summarize the highlights presented in this interview. What… Read more »
Description: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is gaining traction in American politics, energizing the progressive left and roiling deficit hawks. Stephanie Kelton, who advised Bernie Sanders’ 2016 presidential campaign, explains the basics. Source: CNBC.com – video report Date: Mar 08, 2019 Link: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/03/01/stephanie-kelton-explains-modern-monetary-theory.html Questions for discussion: Summarize the key points that explain the theory and the… Read more »
Description: Latest earnings calls reflect growing concerns about the economy Source: MarketWatch.com Date: Mar 15, 2019 Link: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-corporate-leaders-are-getting-worried-about-a-recession-2019-03-15?mod=mw_theo_homepage Questions for discussion: What is the basis for a slowdown at this time, according to the report? Do you agree with the assessment? What should investors do, given the information in the article?
Description: How China’s Economic Slowdown Is Rippling Around the Region Source: MarketWatch.com and WSJ.com – video report Date: Feb 2, 2019 Link: https://www.marketwatch.com/video/how-chinas-economic-slowdown-is-rippling-around-the-region/89AF83D6-4A39-4FD7-982F-534892258A73.html Questions for discussion: Summarize what the report says about the impact China’s economic slowdown is having and the reasons given. What is the suggested impact of a return to normal growth? What… Read more »
Description: Bulls see cheap stocks poised for a rebound. But one big thing has changed since the last boom. Source: Bloomberg.com Date: Feb 01, 2019 Link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-01/for-emerging-markets-china-s-shift-to-consumer-goods-is-a-blow?srnd=businessweek-v2 Questions for discussion: Summarize the analysis presented. Do you agree with the assessment? What would you advise investors?
Description: In Fed aftermath, ‘we’re all data-dependent’ now, say stock-market investors Source: MarketWatch.com Date: Feb 01, 2019 Link: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dovish-pivot-means-stock-market-investors-will-pay-more-attention-to-data-less-to-fed-talk-2019-01-31 Questions for discussion: What is the Fed’s thinking today, according to the report. What should investors do with this information?