Description: Wall Street fears a Trump presidency. Stocks may lose 10 to 12 percent of their value if he wins the November election, and there may be a broader economic downturn. Source: NYTimes.com Date: Sep 30, 2016 Link: https://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/02/upshot/debate-night-message-the-markets-are-afraid-of-donald-trump.html?ref=business&_r=0 Questions for discussion: What does the report say about investors’ reaction to the race between Trump… Read more »
Posts Categorized: Economic Analysis
The Professor Who Was Right About Index Funds All Along
Description: Burton Malkiel has been saying the same thing about investing for more than 40 years. What’s new is that a big chunk of the financial industry now admits he was right all along. Source: Bloomberg.com Date: Sep 22, 2016 Link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-22/the-professor-who-was-right-about-index-funds-all-along Questions for discussion: Summarize what Burton Malkiel has been saying? What do you… Read more »
Bayer and Monsanto Agree to a Deal. Will the Regulators Agree, too?
Description: Some analysts are estimating a 30%-50% chance that the merger will close. Source: Fortune.com Date: Sep 14, 2016 Link: https://fortune.com/2016/09/14/monsanto-bayer-deal-3/ Questions for discussion: What is the basis for doubting the approval of the merger? Do you think it is a good deal for the industry?
The Bull Is Still Running. So Why Are Investors Tiptoeing?
Description: Wall Street seems unable to make up its mind about risk-taking. Source: NYTimes.com Date: Sep 11, 2016 Link: https://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/11/your-money/the-bull-is-still-running-so-why-are-investors-tiptoeing.html?ref=dealbook&_r=0 Questions for discussion: Summarize the commentary in this report. Do you agree with the analysis and advice to investors?
The $2 Trillion Project to Get Saudi Arabia’s Economy Off Oil
Description: Eight unprecedented hours with “Mr. Everything,” Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Source: Bloomberg.com Date: Apr 21, 2016 Link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2016-04-21/the-2-trillion-project-to-get-saudi-arabia-s-economy-off-oil Questions for discussion: What does the report say about the Saudi economic plan and what does this mean for oil prices? Do you think the Saudi plan will succeed?
Banks Are Still Feeling the Effects of the Oil Plunge
Description: Even though oil prices are rebounding Source: Fortune.com – video report Date: Apr 14, 2016 Link: https://for.tn/1qUEf6L Questions for Discussions: What does the report say about the impact oil prices have had on banking profits? Why is there reason to be optimistic about the economy going forward this year?
Yellen: This Is Not a Bubble Economy
Description: Yellen: This Is Not a Bubble Economy Source: Bloomberg.com – video report Date: Apr 07, 2016 Link: https://bloom.bg/1SDwng1 Questions for discussion: What is a “bubble economy”? What is the significance of Yellen’s pronouncement, in terms of the Fed’s likely course of action in the near future? How should investors and traders interpret this pronouncement?
‘Fragile five’: These OPEC producers are on the verge of collapse if oil prices don’t stabilize soon
Description: The global oil price rout has left many oil producers reeling across the world. From Canada to Norway, Saudi Arabia to Russia, none of the world’s largest oil exporters have been spared from oil prices that declined 45 per cent last year alone. Source: FinancialPost.com Date: Mar 30, 2016 Link: https://business.financialpost.com/news/energy/fragile-five-these-opec-producers-are-on-the-verge-of-collapse-if-oil-prices-dont-stabilize-soon?__lsa=679e-e7b7 Questions for discussion:… Read more »
China’s slowdown hits shipping
Description: The global shipping industry is taking a hit as concerns increase over China’s economic slowdown. Source: CNNMoney.com – video report Date: Mar 14, 2016 Link: https://money.cnn.com/video/news/economy/2016/03/14/china-slowdown-hits-shipping.cnnmoney/ Questions for discussion: Why is the shipping industry a good barometer of economic activity? How is this industry changing? What other transportation businesses would be good indicators of… Read more »
$50 Oil as Soon as May?
Description: After staging a 50 percent rally between February and March, oil prices have bounced around, moving up or down on a given day depending on the news cycle. Source: HuffingtonPost.com Date: Mar 31, 2016 Link: https://www.huffingtonpost.com/oilpricecom/50-oil-as-soon-as-may_b_9586830.html?utm_hp_ref=business&ir=Business Questions for discussion: What are the arguments presented for $50 oil? Do you agree with this prediction and… Read more »


