Description: A massive move away from the momentum stocks that have dominated much of the last decade has come in part because investors have grown less fearful of an impending downturn, according to Goldman Sachs. Source: CNBC.com – video report Date: Sep 12, 2019 Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/12/goldman-that-big-market-shift-is-because-things-arent-so-bad.html Questions for discussion: What does the article say about… Read more »
Posts Categorized: Market Analysis
Ignore this data at your peril — it’s pointing to a recession: Société Générale’s Albert Edwards
Description: Whole U.S. economy profits data looks ‘extremely anemic’ Source: MarketWatch.com Date: Sep 12, 2019 Link: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/ignore-this-data-at-your-peril-its-pointing-to-a-recession-societe-generales-albert-edwards-2019-09-12?mod=mw_theo_homepage Questions for discussion: What is the basis of the analysis and prediction? Do you agree?
The Big Short’s Michael Burry Explains Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs
Description: For an investor whose story was featured in a best-selling book and an Oscar-winning movie, Michael Burry has kept a surprisingly low profile in recent years. Source: Bloomberg.com – video report Date: Sep 04, 2019 Link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-04/michael-burry-explains-why-index-funds-are-like-subprime-cdos Questions for discussion: Summarize the analysis presented? Do you agree with the risk perception? What should investors… Read more »
Biggest Bond Rout in Years Whiplashes Bulls Who Had Been Right
Description: (Bloomberg) — After August’s historic drop, it was starting to seem like Treasury yields could only fall. And then came Thursday, when an enormous surge reminded even well-entrenched bulls that the world’s biggest bond market isn’t a one-way street. Source: Bloomberg – Yahoo.Finance.com – video report Date: Sep 05, 2019 Link: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bond-bulls-big-reminder-treasuries-145330270.html Questions for… Read more »
Mohamed El-Erian on the bond markets: ‘If you stick with the old rules, you will lose’
Description: Economist Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC Friday that investors need to think differently about the global bond market, saying that the asset class should be treated in an “opportunistic” manner rather than as a core part of a portfolio. Source: CNBC.com – video report Date: Sep 04, 2019 Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/06/mohamed-el-erian-on-bonds-if-you-stick-with-old-rules-you-will-lose.html Questions for discussion: What is… Read more »
The Almighty Dollar Needs a Rival
Description: America’s currency has become the lingua franca of commerce. That’s “putting the global economy under increasing strain.” Source: Bloomberg.com Date: Aug 29, 2019 Link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-29/the-almighty-dollar-needs-a-rival?srnd=businessweek-v2 Questions for discussion: What are the issues related to the role played by the U.S. dollar in global business and investment? Do you think there would be a serious… Read more »
Why record low bond yields could keep heading lower as market fears ‘disaster scenario’
Description: Bond yields are heading south, and there appears to be no stopping them for now. Source: CNBC.com – video report Date: Aug 29, 2019 Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/28/bond-yields-still-heading-lower-as-market-fears-disaster-scenario.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.Mail Questions for discussion: What does the article say is reason for concern? Do you agree with the analysis? What should investors do today?
Here’s how the stocks held by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway have performed in 2019
Description: Winners include Mastercard and Costco, while Kraft Heinz is one of the worst performers Source: MarketWatch.com Date: Aug 29, 2019 Link: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-how-the-stocks-held-by-warren-buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-have-performed-in-2019-2019-08-29?mod=mw_theo_homepage Questions for discussion: Summarize the portfolio performance. Explain what happened? What can an investor learn from Buffett’s decisions?
Opinion: The Fed can’t rescue us from the coming supply-shock recession
Description: NEW YORK (Project Syndicate) — There are three negative supply shocks that could trigger a global recession by 2020. All of them reflect political factors affecting international relations, two involve China, and the United States is at the center of each. Source: MarketWatch.com Date: Aug 22, 2019 Link: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-cant-rescue-us-from-the-coming-supply-shock-recession-2019-08-22 Questions for discussion: What does the report… Read more »
Shares of companies that manufacture in China plunge after Trump orders them to move
Description: Multinationals that rely on the supply chain from China are tumbling after President Donald Trump ordered them to find alternatives to their Chinese operations. Source: CNBC.com Date: Aug 23, 2019 Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/23/shares-of-companies-that-manufacture-in-china-plunge-after-trump-orders-them-to-move.html Questions for discussion: Why did these particular share-values fall so dramatically? Why did the market decline overall? Is this the start of… Read more »
